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论灭绝与可能的大规模灭绝的经济学

On the Economics of Extinction and Possible Mass Extinctions
Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2024 · M. Scott Taylor、Rolf Weder

中文摘要

人类对地球的主宰并未善待许多物种。这在意料之中。人类已从根本上改变了自然景观,大量捕捞海洋生物,并以前所未有的方式改变了气候。近期,人们对生物多样性丧失程度和速度的担忧,使其重新关注灭绝这一结果,并引发了对人类在未来任何大规模灭绝中可能发挥的作用的推测。本文讨论了两个备受关注的案例——鲨鱼和北美野牛——中灭绝的经济成因,随后将分析扩展至多个物种,并探讨大规模灭绝的可能性。在整个分析过程中,我们提供来自权威数据源的证据,重点关注鲨鱼种群,以支撑我们的分析。尽管我们的数据存在很大缺口,现有证据仍揭示了一个令人担忧的趋势:许多物种的灭绝风险正在上升,而政策制定者的反应一直非常迟缓。

Abstract

Human beings’ domination of the planet has not been kind to many species. This is to be expected. Humans have radically altered natural landscapes, harvested heavily from the ocean, and altered the climate in an unprecedented way. Recent concerns over the extent and rate of biodiversity loss have led to renewed interest in extinction outcomes and speculation concerning humans’ potential role in any future mass extinction. In this paper, we discuss the economic causes of extinction in two high-profile cases—Sharks and the North American Buffalo—and then extend our analysis to multiple species and discuss the possibility of mass extinction. Throughout, we present evidence drawn from authoritative data sources with a focus on shark populations to ground our analysis. Despite large gaps in our data, the available evidence reveals a worrisome trend: extinction risks are rising for many species and policymakers have been very slow to react.
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