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美国个人所得税:近期演变与证据

The US Individual Income Tax: Recent Evolution and Evidence
Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2024 · [{"name": "Jon Bakija", "affiliation": ["Williams College", "Clark Art Institute"]}]

中文摘要

本文评估了美国联邦个人所得税的现状,并考察了其近期演变,重点分析了2017年《减税与就业法案》(TCJA)对个人所得税所做的修改及其影响的相关证据。税收设计发生了怎样的变化?这又如何影响了税收收入、税负分布、边际税率以及税基的广度?这些修改的理由是什么?经济学对于这些修改是否明智的争论有何贡献?迄今为止,我们从关于近期个人所得税政策变化(尤其是自2017年以来实施的修改)影响的实证研究中了解到了什么?这对个人所得税的最优设计又意味着什么?

Abstract

This paper assesses the current state of the US federal individual taxation, and considers its recent evolution, with an emphasis on the changes to the individual income tax enacted in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), and evidence on their impacts. How has the design of the tax changed, and how has this affected tax revenues, the distribution of tax burdens, marginal tax rates, and the breadth of the tax base? What were the rationales for the changes, and what does economics have to contribute to the debate over whether the changes were a good idea? What have we learned so far from empirical research on the impacts of recent changes in individual tax policy, including especially the changes enacted since 2017, and what does this imply for the optimal design of individual taxation?
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