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美国个人所得税:近期演变与证据

The US Individual Income Tax: Recent Evolution and Evidence
Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2024 · Jon Bakija

中文摘要

本文评估美国联邦个人所得税的现状,并考察其近期演变,重点关注2017年《减税与就业法案》(TCJA)对个人所得税所作的调整及其影响的相关证据。税制设计发生了怎样的变化?这些变化又如何影响了税收收入、税负分布、边际税率和税基广度?这些改革的理由是什么?对于这些改革是否合理的争论,经济学能够提供哪些见解?关于近期个人税收政策调整的影响,特别是2017年以来实施的调整,我们从实证研究中迄今获得了哪些认识?这些认识对个人所得税的最优设计又意味着什么?

Abstract

This paper assesses the current state of the US federal individual taxation, and considers its recent evolution, with an emphasis on the changes to the individual income tax enacted in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), and evidence on their impacts. How has the design of the tax changed, and how has this affected tax revenues, the distribution of tax burdens, marginal tax rates, and the breadth of the tax base? What were the rationales for the changes, and what does economics have to contribute to the debate over whether the changes were a good idea? What have we learned so far from empirical research on the impacts of recent changes in individual tax policy, including especially the changes enacted since 2017, and what does this imply for the optimal design of individual taxation?
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