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扩大加班保障覆盖范围的劳动力市场效应

The Labor Market Effects of Expanding Overtime Coverage
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Simon Quach

中文摘要

本文考察美国加班保障覆盖的劳动力市场效应。在美国,若领取固定薪资的劳动者基本工资低于法定薪资门槛,则其受加班保障覆盖。本文使用行政工资数据与2014—2021年间各州门槛调整,采用事件研究设计,所得证据并不支持传统的加班模型。与政策制定者的历史初衷相反,企业并未通过增加用工人数、减少人均工时的方式提高就业。然而,与补偿性差异模型的预测相反,企业也未通过降低劳动者基本工资来抵消加班成本。相反,雇主将薪资提高至门槛以上,使劳动者继续免于适用加班规定,这表明监测和调整劳动者工时会给企业带来成本。总体而言,这些结果表明,扩大加班保障覆盖范围会提高劳动者收入,同时不会对就业产生负面影响。

Abstract

This paper examines the labor market effects of overtime coverage in the United States, where salaried workers are covered for overtime if their base pay falls below a legislated salary threshold. Using an event-study design with administrative payroll data and state-level threshold changes from 2014-2021, I find evidence against conventional models of overtime. Contrary to the historical intent of policymakers, firms do not increase employment by substituting more workers for fewer hours. However, contrary to compensating differential models, firms also do not offset the costs of overtime by lowering workers' base pays. Instead, employers raised salaries above the threshold to keep workers exempt from overtime, indicating that monitoring and adjusting workers' hours is costly for firms. Taken together, these results suggest that expanding overtime coverage increases workers' earnings without negatively impacting employment.
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