死亡冲击后的心理社会健康与福祉
Psychosocial Health and Well-Being After A Mortality Shock
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · [{"name": "Elizabeth Frankenberg", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "Cecep Sumantri", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "Duncan Thomas", "affiliation": []}]
中文摘要
我们以2004年印度洋地震海啸这一大规模、高死亡率自然灾害为背景,研究意外死亡对心理社会健康的短期和长期影响。利用来自"海啸后果与恢复研究"(Study of the Tsunami Aftermath and Recovery)的具有人口代表性的纵向调查数据,我们将社区层面测量的海啸相关死亡率的影响,与个人层面失去近亲的影响进行了对比。在短期(海啸后两年),社区和个人层面的死亡暴露均是抑郁和创伤后应激症状加重的显著预测因素。在长期(海啸后十年),个人层面的暴露效应虽略有减弱,但仍是这两项心理社会健康指标的显著预测因素;相比之下,社区层面的死亡率能够预测创伤后应激症状,但不能预测抑郁症状。死亡在短期和长期均与家庭规模较小有关,并在长期与社会支持较少有关,尽管后一效应在男性和女性之间存在很大差异。上述估计对其他海啸暴露指标进行了调整;在个人层面分析中,我们比较了海啸发生时居住在同一社区、暴露于相同社区死亡率水平的个体。
Abstract
We investigate the short- and long-run impacts of unexpected mortality on psychosocial health in the context of a large-scale high-mortality natural disaster, the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami. The effects of the tsunami-related mortality measured at the community level are contrasted with the effects of individual-specific loss of close kin using population-representative longitudinal survey data from the Study of the Tsunami Aftermath and Recovery. In the short-run, two years post-tsunami, both community and individual-level mortality exposures are significant predictors of elevated depression and post-traumatic stress symtoms. In the longer-run, ten years post-tsunami, individual-level exposures are slightly attenuated but remain significant predictors of both psychosocial health measures; in contrast, community-level mortality predicts post-traumatic stress but not depression symptoms. Mortality is linked to smaller household sizes in the short- and long-run and to less social support in the long-run, although the latter effect differs substantially for males and females. The estimates adjust for other tsunami exposure measures and, in the individual-level analyses, we compare people living in the same community at the time of the tsunami who were exposed to the same community-level mortality rate.
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