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规范变迁的垫脚石方法

A Stepping Stone Approach to Norm Transitions
American Economic Review · 2025 · Selim Gulesci、Sam Jindani、Eliana La Ferrara、David Smerdon、Munshi Sulaiman、Peyton Young

中文摘要

我们提出一个模型,用以研究中间行为何时能够充当垫脚石,从而促成有害规范的消除。尽管中间行为可能有助于迈出第一“步”,但它也可能成为一种新规范。我们推导出中间行为充当垫脚石的直观条件,这些条件取决于社会惩罚与内在效用收益的相对大小。我们提出一种计量经济学方法来检验中间行为是否为垫脚石,并将其应用于索马里女性生殖器切割的原始数据。分析表明,中间行为可能成为新的规范。

Abstract

We propose a model to study when an intermediate action can serve as a stepping stone that enables the elimination of a harmful norm. While the intermediate action may facilitate the first “step,” it may also become a new norm. We derive intuitive conditions for stepping stones, which depend on the relative size of social penalties and intrinsic utility benefits. We propose an econometric approach to testing whether an intermediate action is a stepping stone, and apply it to original data on female genital cutting in Somalia. The analysis shows that the intermediate action may become the new norm. (JEL I12, J16, O15, O17, Z13)
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