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黑人赋权与白人动员:《投票权法》的影响

Black Empowerment and White Mobilization: The Effects of the Voting Rights Act
Journal of Political Economy · 2025 · Andrea Bernini、Giovanni Facchini、Marco Tabellini、Cecilia Testa

中文摘要

南方白人如何应对1965年《投票权法》(VRA)?我们利用新近数字化的1956年至1980年按种族划分的县级选民登记数据,并利用各县在联邦干预暴露程度上预先确定的差异,发现《投票权法》同时提高了黑人和白人的政治参与。与《投票权法》引发白人反向动员的解释一致,白人登记人数的激增集中在非裔美国人构成政治威胁的县。反向动员在短期内提高了对种族立场保守候选人的支持,并导致对美国黑人具有重要意义的地方公共支出——例如公共部门就业和教育支出——增长放缓。

Abstract

How did Southern whites respond to the 1965 Voting Rights Act (VRA)? Leveraging newly digitized data on county-level voter registration by race between 1956 and 1980 and exploiting predetermined variation in exposure to the federal intervention, we document that the VRA increases both Black and white political participation. Consistent with the VRA triggering white countermobilization, the surge in white registrations is concentrated in counties where African Americans represent a political threat. Countermobilization leads to a short-run increase in support for racially conservative candidates and to a slowdown in local public spending salient to Black Americans, such as public-sector employment and education.
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