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网络错误信息模型

A Model of Online Misinformation
Review of Economic Studies · 2023 · Daron Acemoğlu、Asuman Ozdaglar、James Siderius

中文摘要

我们提出了一个网络内容分享模型,其中,行为人依次观察一篇文章,并决定是否将其分享给他人。该内容可能包含错误信息,也可能不包含。每个行为人最初都具有意识形态偏向,并从积极的社交媒体互动中获得效用,但不希望因传播错误信息而遭到公开指责。我们刻画了这一社交媒体博弈的(贝叶斯—纳什)均衡,并证明该博弈具有策略互补性。在这一框架下,我们研究了以最大化参与度为目标的平台将如何设计其算法。我们的主要结果表明,当相关文章的可靠性较低,因而很可能包含错误信息时,最大化参与度的算法会采取“过滤气泡”的形式,即制造一个由观点相近用户组成的回音室。此外,当社会极化程度更高、内容分裂性更强时,过滤气泡越可能出现。最后,我们讨论了针对这类平台制造的错误信息的多种监管方案。

Abstract

Abstract We present a model of online content sharing where agents sequentially observe an article and decide whether to share it with others. This content may or may not contain misinformation. Each agent starts with an ideological bias and gains utility from positive social media interactions but does not want to be called out for propagating misinformation. We characterize the (Bayesian–Nash) equilibria of this social media game and establish that it exhibits strategic complementarities. Under this framework, we study how a platform interested in maximizing engagement would design its algorithm. Our main result establishes that when the relevant articles have low-reliability and are thus likely to contain misinformation, the engagement-maximizing algorithm takes the form of a “filter bubble”—creating an echo chamber of like-minded users. Moreover, filter bubbles become more likely when there is greater polarization in society and content is more divisive. Finally, we discuss various regulatory solutions to such platform-manufactured misinformation.
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