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开放边境的劳动力市场效应

Labor Market Effects of Open Borders
Journal of Human Resources · 2022 · Isa Kuosmanen、Jaakko Meriläinen

中文摘要

欧盟东扩使芬兰不同地区和职业的劳动者受到外来劳动力,尤其是外派工人的差异化冲击。利用三重差分策略和详细的个体层面行政数据,我们记录了稳健的证据,表明新欧盟成员国的加入降低了建筑业中脆弱工人相对于较不脆弱工人的年收入。即使在欧盟东扩十年后,这一下降仍持续存在,且具有经济意义,平均约为9%(大致相当于每年一个月的工资)。我们还发现失业率有小幅上升,并提供了有关不同调整机制的证据。

Abstract

The eastern enlargement of the EU differentially exposed workers in different regions and occupations in Finland to a foreign workforce, in particular to posted workers. Using a triple-differences strategy and detailed individual-level administrative data, we document robust evidence that the entry of new EU countries decreased the annual earnings of vulnerable workers relative to less vulnerable workers in the construction sector. This decrease was persistent even ten years after the enlargement and economically meaningful, about 9 percent (roughly a month’s salary per year), on average. We also show a small increase in unemployment and provide evidence on different adjustment mechanisms.
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