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自动化企业中的员工境况如何?

What Happens to Workers at Firms that Automate?
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2023 · James Bessen、Maarten Goos、Anna Salomons、Wiljan van den Berge

中文摘要

我们将荷兰微观数据与一项涵盖所有私营非金融部门企业的自动化支出直接度量相结合,估计企业层面自动化对员工个人结果的影响。我们采用一种利用块状(非连续性)投资的新型双重差分事件研究设计,发现自动化提高了现有员工与雇主解除劳动关系的概率。员工在五年内累计损失的工资收入相当于其一年收入的9%,这一损失源于工作天数减少。自动化的这些不利影响在规模较小的企业中,以及对年龄较大和受教育程度中等的员工而言更为显著。相比之下,企业的计算机投资并未发现此类损失。

Abstract

Abstract We estimate the impact of firm-level automation on individual worker outcomes by combining Dutch microdata with a direct measure of automation expenditures covering all private nonfinancial sector firms. Using a novel difference-in-differences event-study design leveraging lumpy investment, we find that automation increases the probability of incumbent workers separating from their employers. Workers experience a five-year cumulative wage income loss of 9% of one year’s earnings, driven by decreases in days worked. These adverse impacts of automation are larger in smaller firms, and for older and middle-educated workers. By contrast, no such losses are found for firms’ investments in computers.
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