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城市与贫民窟

Of Cities and Slums
Journal of Political Economy · 2025 · Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira、Alexander Monge‐Naranjo、Luciene Torres de Mello Pereira

中文摘要

我们研究巴西城市贫民窟的形成与持续存在。利用劳动力市场、住房成本和教育可及性方面的数据,我们构建了一个定量模型,以探究贫民窟对该国人力资本和结构转型的影响。城市贫民窟之所以形成并持续存在,源于其双重角色:对受教育程度较低的家庭而言,它们是代际向上流动的阶梯;对受教育程度较高的家庭而言,它们则是障碍。如果贫民窟儿童能够进入正规城区的学校就读,贫民窟的规模会更大,但存续时间会更短。如果在城市化进程早期便能改善农村学校,本可在很大程度上避免城市贫民窟的形成。

Abstract

We study the emergence and persistence of urban slums in Brazil. Using data on labor markets, housing costs, and access to education, we construct a quantitative model to explore the impact of slums on the country s human capital and structural transformation. Urban slums emerge and persist due to their dual roles as intergenerational stepping stones for low-educated households and as blockades for higher-educated ones. Providing slum children access to schools in formal urban areas would have led to larger but shorter-lived slums. Improved rural schools, if available earlier during urbanization, would have vastly prevented the formation of urban slums.

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