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两个族群的财富:美国种族财富差距,1860–2020

Wealth of Two Nations: The U.S. Racial Wealth Gap, 1860–2020
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2023 · [{"name": "Ellora Derenoncourt", "affiliation": ["Princeton University"]}, {"name": "Chi Hyun Kim", "affiliation": ["University of Bonn"]}, {"name": "Moritz Kuhn", "affiliation": ["University of Mannheim"]}, {"name": "Moritz Schularick", "affiliation": ["Kiel Institute for the World Economy", "Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris"]}]

中文摘要

种族财富差距是美国黑人与白人之间诸多经济差距中最大的一项,白人与黑人的人均财富之比为6比1。这一差距也是最持久的差距之一。本文利用历史人口普查数据、早期州税收记录以及历史各期消费者财务调查(Survey of Consumer Finances)等资料,首次构建了1860年至2020年白人与黑人人均财富比率的连续序列。我们将这些数据纳入一个针对各种族群体财富积累过程的简约模型,考察初始条件、收入增长、储蓄行为和资本回报在这一差距演变中所起的作用。鉴于奴隶制下两个群体的初始条件存在巨大差异,即便自解放以来两者的财富积累条件完全相同,种族财富趋同仍将是一个遥远的前景。相对于这一“条件相同”的基准情形,我们发现,在过去150年里,实际观察到的趋同进程甚至更为缓慢,并在1950年后陷入停滞。自20世纪80年代以来,由于资本利得主要惠及白人家庭,财富差距再度扩大,通过收入增长和储蓄实现的趋同也已停止。

Abstract

Abstract The racial wealth gap is the largest of the economic disparities between Black and white Americans, with a white-to-Black per capita wealth ratio of 6 to 1. It is also among the most persistent. In this article, we construct the first continuous series on white-to-Black per capita wealth ratios from 1860 to 2020, drawing on historical census data, early state tax records, and historical waves of the Survey of Consumer Finances, among other sources. Incorporating these data into a parsimonious model of wealth accumulation for each racial group, we document the role played by initial conditions, income growth, savings behavior, and capital returns in the evolution of the gap. Given vastly different starting conditions under slavery, racial wealth convergence would remain a distant scenario, even if wealth-accumulating conditions had been equal across the two groups since Emancipation. Relative to this equal-conditions benchmark, we find that observed convergence has followed an even slower path over the past 150 years, with convergence stalling after 1950. Since the 1980s, the wealth gap has widened again as capital gains have predominantly benefited white households, and convergence via income growth and savings has come to a halt.
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