(成功的)民主制度培育其自身的支持
(Successful) Democracies Breed Their Own Support
Review of Economic Studies · 2024 · [{"name": "Daron Acemoğlu", "affiliation": ["Massachusetts Institute of Technology"]}, {"name": "Nicolás Ajzenman", "affiliation": ["McGill University"]}, {"name": "Cevat Giray Aksoy", "affiliation": ["King's College London", "European Bank for Reconstruction and Development"]}, {"name": "Martín Fiszbein", "affiliation": ["Boston University"]}, {"name": "Carlos Molina", "affiliation": ["Massachusetts Institute of Technology"]}]
中文摘要
我们使用覆盖110多个国家的大规模调查数据,并利用各国国内不同队列与不同调查之间的变异,表明接触民主制度时间更长的个人对民主制度表现出更强的支持,且这一效应几乎完全由接触在经济增长、腐败控制、和平与政治稳定以及公共品供给方面表现成功的民主制度所驱动。在多种模型设定、估计方法和样本下,结果均保持稳健,效应出现的时间和性质也与我们的解释一致。我们还提供了提示性证据,表明获得公民支持的民主制度在面对负面冲击时表现更好。
Abstract
Abstract Using large-scale survey data covering more than 110 countries and exploiting within-country variation across cohorts and surveys, we show that individuals with longer exposure to democracy display stronger support for democratic institutions, and that this effect is almost entirely driven by exposure to democracies with successful performance in terms of economic growth, control of corruption, peace and political stability, and public goods provision. Across a variety of specifications, estimation methods, and samples, the results are robust, and the timing and nature of the effects are consistent with our interpretation. We also present suggestive evidence that democratic institutions that receive support from their citizens perform better in the face of negative shocks.
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