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生育结果与晚年父母福祉:来自印度的证据

Fertility outcomes and parental well-being in later life: Evidence from India
Journal of Development Economics · 2025 · Bilal Ahmad Bhat、Esha Chatterjee、Sounak Thakur

中文摘要

我们研究生育结果对父母在育龄后阶段福祉的影响。背景是印度,在那里第一胎的性别具有可信的随机性,且第一胎为女儿的父母最终会拥有更多女儿。对于女性和男性,我们都发现第一胎为女儿会导致其育龄后阶段的主观生活满意度更低以及劳动供给增加。我们提供的提示性证据表明,这些结果可能由与嫁女相关的更大财务压力驱动,而对女性而言,则由堕胎的长期影响以及第一胎为女儿家庭中较低自主权驱动。

Abstract

We study the effect of fertility outcomes on parental well-being in post-reproductive ages. The context is India, where the gender of the firstborn is plausibly random, and parents with firstborn daughters end up having more daughters. For both women and men, we find that having a firstborn daughter leads to lower subjective life satisfaction and an increase in labor supply in their post-reproductive years. We present suggestive evidence that these results are plausibly driven by greater financial stress associated with marrying off daughters, and, for women, by the long-term effects of abortion and lower autonomy in households with firstborn daughters.
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