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相信我:心理博弈中的沟通与竞争

Trust me: Communication and Competition in a Psychological Game
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2025 · Marina Agranov、Utteeyo Dasgupta、Andrew Schotter

中文摘要

我们从理论和实验两方面研究了有卖方竞争与无卖方竞争两种情形下的沟通博弈,并将其嵌入一个心理博弈框架:在该框架中,参与者会因撒谎、误导他人以及感到失望而承担成本。我们推导了该模型的均衡预测,并将其与不存在心理收益情形下的预测进行比较,随后在一项同时诱导物质收益与心理收益的实验室实验中检验这些预测。我们发现,与仅有物质收益的设定相比,参与者同时具有物质收益与心理收益的设定促成了更多交易,所交易商品的质量也略高,且市场双方的福利均未因此受损。然而,竞争的引入抵消了这一改善,并降低了市场双方的福利。这是因为在竞争环境下卖方的不诚实行为大幅增加,而买方又无法识别这种欺骗。

Abstract

Abstract We study, both theoretically and experimentally, a communication game with and without seller competition and embed it in a psychological-game framework where players experience costs for lying, misleading others, and being disappointed. We derive the equilibrium predictions of this model, compare them to the setting without psychological payoffs, and test these predictions in a laboratory experiment, in which we induce both material and psychological payoffs. We find that the setting in which players have both material and psychological payoffs features more trade, trades goods of marginally better quality, and does so without welfare losses to either side of the market relative to the setting with material payoffs only. However, the introduction of competition counteracts this improvement and lowers welfare for both sides of the market. This happens due to a surge in dishonesty by sellers in the competitive setting and the buyers’ inability to detect this deception.
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