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销售订阅服务

Selling Subscriptions
American Economic Review · 2025 · Liran Einav、Ben Klopack、Neale Mahoney

中文摘要

我们研究企业销售订阅服务的一项好处:消费者可能会继续为其不再看重的订阅服务付费。我们利用来自一家大型支付卡网络的全面数据,发现换卡月份与高得多的取消订阅率相关,而这些月份需要消费者主动续订。借助两个分别以注意力不足或转换成本解释消费者惯性的程式化模型,我们估计,在保持初始订阅者不变的情况下,这些取消订阅摩擦平均而言使卖方收入大致翻倍。我们运用估计得到的模型,探讨可能的监管补救措施的影响。

Abstract

We study one benefit to firms of selling subscriptions: the prospect that consumers will continue to pay for subscriptions they no longer value. We use comprehensive data from a large payment card network to document that months during which cards are replaced, when active renewal is required, are associated with much higher rates of cancellation. Using two stylized models of consumer inertia—driven by inattention or switching costs—we estimate that these cancellation frictions roughly double seller revenues on average, holding fixed initial subscribers. We use the estimated models to explore the impact of possible regulatory remedies. (JEL D12, D18, L81, L88)
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