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信贷可得性降低保险价值

Access to credit reduces the value of insurance
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · Sonia Jaffe、Anup Malani、Julian Reif

中文摘要

我们研究信贷市场可得性如何影响保险的价值。贷款使消费者能够跨期平滑财务冲击,从而降低保险带来的增量收益。我们推导出可用于实证数据的保险价值易处理公式,并说明该价值如何随贷款特征而变化。随后,我们将这一框架应用于健康保险。获得五年期贷款使平均两人家庭的社区费率型和经验费率型健康保险价值降低232—366美元(58%—61%)。即使对健康状况最差的十分位人群而言,获得贷款也会使社区费率型保险的价值降低1099美元(17%)。我们的结果表明,更充裕的信贷可得性可以替代健康保险。

Abstract

We study how access to credit markets affects the value of insurance. Loans allow consumers to smooth financial shocks over time, reducing the incremental benefits provided by insurance. We derive tractable formulas for the value of insurance that can be taken to data and show how that value varies with loan features. We then apply our framework to health insurance. Access to a five-year loan decreases the values of community- and experience-rated health insurance for the average two-person household by $232–$366 (58–61%). Even for the sickest decile, loan access reduces the value of community-rated insurance by $1099 (17%). Our results suggest that greater credit availability can serve as a substitute for health insurance.
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