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货币政策与购房不平等

Monetary Policy and Home Buying Inequality
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2024 · Daniel Ringo

中文摘要

货币政策是否会影响谁能成为住房所有者?较低收入的购房者可能对利率更为敏感,至少部分原因在于,他们在信贷决策中更经常面临具有约束力的还款收入比限制。利用货币政策冲击前后个人抵押贷款利率锁定的高频观测时点,本文发现,由政策引致的抵押贷款利率上升1个百分点,会在冲击发生后立即使较低收入家庭在购房者群体中的占比下降1至2个百分点。这一效应在首次购房者中显著更强,并持续约一年。

Abstract

Abstract Does monetary policy influence who becomes a homeowner? Lower-income home buyers may be more sensitive to interest rates, at least in part because they more frequently come up against binding payment-to-income ratio constraints in credit decisions. Exploiting the timing of high-frequency observations of individual mortgage rate locks around monetary policy shocks, I find that a 1 percentage point policy-induced increase in mortgage rates lowers the presence of lower-income households in the population of home buyers by 1 to 2 percentage points immediately following the shock. Effects are substantially stronger among first-time home buyers and persist for approximately one year.
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