← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

群体中的信息传递:利害重大且不可逆的财务决策中的同伴影响

Information Transmission in Groups: Peer Influence in High-Stakes, Irreversible Financial Decisions
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2026 · Tom Ahn、Jesse M. Cunha、Patrick Veith

中文摘要

我们研究工作场所的同事对一项利害重大且不可逆的退休计划选择的影响。处于职业生涯中期的美国军人需要在两种方案之间作出选择:未来领取更高的养老金,或立即领取一笔奖金但未来领取较低的养老金。我们将同伴界定为已经锁定选择的人员,而人员分配规则确保同伴群体是外生形成的,由此识别同伴的因果影响。奖金选项虽难以与另一退休计划作比较,但从个人一生来看,往往代价极高;同伴中选择奖金的比例越高,选择者选择奖金的意愿就越低。同伴在职业、种族和性别群体内部具有特殊影响。

Abstract

Abstract We study the influence of workplace peers on a high-stakes, irreversible retirement plan choice. Midcareer U.S. military personnel choose between higher future pension payouts or an immediate bonus plus lower future payouts. With peers defined as those who have locked in their choices and personnel assignment rules ensuring that peer groups are exogenously formed, we capture the causal impact of peers. Greater peer take-up of the bonus, which is difficult to compare to the alternative plan but often extremely costly over one’s lifetime, discourages choosers from selecting the bonus. Peers have special impact within professional, race, and gender groups.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →