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社区参与与公共安全:来自针对移民的犯罪执法的证据

Community Engagement and Public Safety: Evidence from Crime Enforcement Targeting Immigrants
American Economic Review · 2026 · Felipe Gonçalves、Elisa Jácome、Emily Weisburst

中文摘要

我们研究受害者报案在公共安全生产中的作用。我们考察了“安全社区”(Secure Communities)计划,这是一项让警方参与识别无证移民的犯罪治理政策,该政策加剧了移民社区对被遣返的担忧。我们发现,该政策降低了西班牙裔受害者向警方报案的可能性,并增加了针对西班牙裔的犯罪行为。报告犯罪的数量没有变化,掩盖了这两种方向相反的效应。我们表明,报案减少推动了犯罪行为的增加,并给出了文献中首个犯罪行为相对于受害者报案的弹性估计:报案率下降10%会使犯罪行为增加7.9%。(JEL J15、K37、K42)

Abstract

We study the role of victim reporting in the production of public safety. We examine the Secure Communities program, a crime-reduction policy that involved police in detecting unauthorized immigrants and increased deportation fears in immigrant communities. We find that the policy reduced the likelihood that Hispanic victims report crimes to police and increased offending against Hispanics. The number of reported crimes is unchanged, masking these opposing effects. We show that reduced reporting drives the offending increase and provide the first elasticity of offending to victim reporting in the literature, calculating that a 10 percent decline in reporting increases offending by 7.9 percent. (JEL J15, K37, K42)
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