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高峰时段道路拥堵定价:实验证据与均衡含义

Peak‐Hour Road Congestion Pricing: Experimental Evidence and Equilibrium Implications
Econometrica · 2024 · Gabriel Kreindler

中文摘要

发展中国家的特大城市饱受严重的道路交通拥堵之苦,但拥堵程度并非衡量均衡无效率的直接指标。我研究了班加罗尔的高峰时段交通拥堵均衡。为衡量出行偏好,我使用出发时间选择模型设计了一项包含拥堵定价政策的实地实验,并利用精确的GPS数据加以实施。实验中通勤者的反应显示,其日程安排具有中等程度的刚性,且时间价值较高。随后我表明,在班加罗尔,交通密度对出行延误具有中等程度且呈线性的影响。基于内生拥堵的政策模拟表明,最优拥堵费将使出行时间小幅缩短,通勤者福利小幅提升。这一结果主要由拥堵外部性的形态所驱动。总体而言,这些结果表明,在班加罗尔这类城市,错峰交通政策为通勤者带来的福利收益有限。

Abstract

Developing country megacities suffer from severe road traffic congestion, yet the level of congestion is not a direct measure of equilibrium inefficiency. I study the peak‐hour traffic congestion equilibrium in Bangalore. To measure travel preferences, I use a model of departure time choice to design a field experiment with congestion pricing policies and implement it using precise GPS data. Commuter responses in the experiment reveal moderate schedule inflexibility and a high value of time. I then show that in Bangalore, traffic density has a moderate and linear impact on travel delay. My policy simulations with endogenous congestion indicate that optimal congestion charges would lead to a small reduction in travel times, and small commuter welfare gains. This result is driven primarily by the shape of the congestion externality. Overall, these results suggest limited commuter welfare benefits from peak‐spreading traffic policies in cities like Bangalore.
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