Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2023 · Giulia Brancaccio、Myrto Kalouptsidi、Theodore Papageorgiou、Nicola Rosaia
中文摘要
我们探讨出租车、卡车和散货航运等分散化运输市场中的效率与最优政策。我们表明,在这些市场中,搜寻摩擦扭曲了运输网络以及承运人在空间上的动态配置。我们推导出显式且直观的效率条件,并说明这些条件如何转化为实现效率的定价规则,或转化为供无法直接设定价格的规划者采用的最优税收与补贴。结果意味着,基于目的地的定价对于实现效率至关重要。随后,我们利用干散货航运数据表明,搜寻摩擦导致了可观的社会损失以及船舶在空间上的严重错配。最优政策可以消除约一半的福利损失。集中化平台往往作为应对搜寻摩擦的市场化解决方案出现,它能否做得更好?有趣的是,答案是否定的:尽管平台消除了摩擦,但它会行使市场势力,从而侵蚀福利收益。最后,我们利用该行业近期的两项干预措施——中国的“一带一路”倡议和环保倡议IMO 2020——表明,任何拟议政策都需要考虑运输市场的效率特性。
Abstract
Abstract We explore efficiency and optimal policy in decentralized transport markets, such as taxis, trucks, and bulk shipping. We show that in these markets, search frictions distort the transportation network and the dynamic allocation of carriers over space. We derive explicit and intuitive conditions for efficiency and show how they translate into efficient pricing rules, or optimal taxes and subsidies for the planner who cannot set prices directly. The results imply that destination-based pricing is essential to attain efficiency. Then, using data from dry bulk shipping, we demonstrate that search frictions lead to a sizable social loss and substantial misallocation of ships over space. Optimal policy can eliminate about half of the welfare loss. Can a centralizing platform, often arising as a market-based solution to search frictions, do better? Interestingly, the answer is no; although the platform eradicates frictions, it exerts market power, thus eroding the welfare gains. Finally, we use two recent interventions in the industry (China’s Belt and Road Initiative and the environmental initiative IMO 2020) to demonstrate that taking into account the efficiency properties of transport markets is germane to any proposed policy.