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招聘强度、雇用人数与职位空缺:来自企业层面数据的证据

Recruiting Intensity, Hires and Vacancies: Evidence from Firm-Level Data
The Economic Journal · 2025 · Eliza Forsythe、Russell Weinstein

中文摘要

我们利用一项针对招聘应届大学毕业生的雇主开展的全国性调查所获得的详细企业层面数据,考察雇主的招聘行为。我们发现,这种行为会对经济周期、有关劳动力市场紧张程度的信念以及计划雇用人数作出反应。具体而言,雇主会调整计划投入的招聘努力和薪酬。随后,我们表明,当企业投入更大的招聘努力时,其每个职位空缺最终雇用的人数会更多。这些结果表明,当企业希望增加雇用人数时,会同时调整职位空缺的数量和每个职位空缺的招聘强度。如果这一现象在劳动力市场中更为普遍,则可能有助于解释大衰退期间标准匹配函数失效的原因。

Abstract

Abstract We investigate employer recruiting behaviour, using detailed firm-level data from a national survey of employers hiring recent college graduates. We find that this behaviour is responsive to the business cycle, beliefs about labour market tightness and the intended number of hires. Specifically, employers adjust planned recruiting effort and compensation. We then show that, when firms expend greater recruiting effort, they ultimately hire more individuals per vacancy. These results suggest that, when firms want to increase hires, they adjust both the quantity of vacancies and the recruiting intensity per vacancy. If this is true more broadly in the labour market, it may help explain the breakdown in the standard matching function during the Great Recession.
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