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阿根廷失业保险的福利效应

The Welfare Effects of Unemployment Insurance in Argentina
Journal of Human Resources · 2023 · Martín González‐Rozada、Hernán Ruffo

中文摘要

失业保险转移支付应在保障失业者消费与其对求职产生的抑制效应之间取得平衡。发展中国家还面临一项额外挑战,即劳动者可能在非正规工作中隐瞒其就业与收入状况。利用阿根廷转移支付方案中的折点,我们发现,较高的待遇水平对就业获得率有适度影响,并显著提高再就业工资。借助一个工资报价随机到达的模型,我们推导出一个充分统计量公式,并使用估计结果对其进行校准,结果表明,若提高阿根廷的失业保险待遇,福利可大幅增进。重要的是,我们的结论适用于符合领取资格劳动者的中位数个体。

Abstract

<h3>Abstract</h3> Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on search. Developing countries face the additional challenge of workers hiding employment and income in informal jobs. By exploiting the kinks in the schedule of transfers in Argentina, we find that higher benefits moderately affect job-finding rates and significantly increase re-employment wages. Using a model with random wage offers, we derive a sufficient statistics formula and calibrate it with our estimates to show that welfare could rise substantially if benefits were increased in Argentina. Importantly, our conclusion is relevant for the median eligible worker.
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