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社会资本、政府支出与增长

Social Capital, Government Expenditures, and Growth
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2024 · Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto、Ugo Troiano

中文摘要

本文表明,社会资本通过改善政治激励与政治甄选,提高政府在人力资本方面的投资,从而促进经济增长。我们提供的经验证据显示,无论是在跨国层面还是在美国各州层面,社会资本越高的地区,用于公共教育的产出份额就越大。我们构建了一个具有不完全政治代理的随机内生增长理论模型。只有一部分人能够正确预期当前公共教育支出的未来回报。信息在社会中的传播程度越高,这一知识在选民中就越普及。因此,社会资本缓解了导致人力资本投资不足的短视政治激励,也有助于选民选出能够确保公共教育具有高生产率的政治家。通过这一机制,我们表明社会资本提高了产出的均衡增长率,并降低了其波动性。

Abstract

Abstract This paper shows that social capital increases economic growth by raising government investment in human capital through better political incentives and selection. We provide empirical evidence that a greater share of output is spent on public education where social capital is higher, both across countries and across U.S. states. We develop a theoretical model of stochastic endogenous growth with imperfect political agency. Only some people correctly anticipate the future returns to current spending on public education. Greater social diffusion of information makes this knowledge more widespread among voters. As a result, social capital alleviates myopic political incentives to underinvest in human capital. It also helps voters select politicians who ensure high productivity in public education. Through this mechanism, we show that social capital raises the equilibrium growth rate of output and reduces its volatility.
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