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智能排放上限

Smart Cap
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2024 · Larry S. Karp、Christian P. Traeger

中文摘要

政策制定者对企业减排成本了解不完全,导致监管效率低下,削弱了世界各地碳市场带来的福利收益。我们提出一种能够消除这些成本的“智能”总量管制与交易制度。该排放上限依赖许可证的市场价格来汇总信息,对技术冲击或宏观经济冲击作出内生响应,使政策制定者得以调整现有制度,实现更有效率的减排。本文还表明,由于技术创新的扩散通常较为缓慢,最优碳价往往是排放量的一个函数,其陡峭程度远超碳的社会成本所暗示的水平。

Abstract

Abstract Policymakers ‘imperfect knowledge about firms’ abatement costs leads to inefficient regulation, reducing the welfare gains from carbon markets around the world. We introduce a “smart” cap and trade system that eliminates these costs. This cap responds endogenously to technology or macroeconomic shocks, relying on the market price of certificates to aggregate information. It allows policy makers to modify existing institutions to achieve more efficient emissions reductions. The paper also shows that the slow diffusion of technology innovations typically makes the optimal carbon price a much steeper function of emissions than suggested by the Social Cost of Carbon.
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