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深度分裂社会中的策略性生育、教育选择与冲突

Strategic Fertility, Education Choices, and Conflicts in Deeply Divided Societies
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2024 · Emeline Bezin、Bastien Chabé-Ferret、David de la Croix

中文摘要

当人口占比提高有助于增强权力时,生育会成为少数群体的一项策略性选择。如果父母投入资源教育子女,那么出于策略性原因提高生育率可能以牺牲未来的人力资本为代价。我们利用若干发展中国家的人口普查数据驳斥了这一观点。我们发现,与较大群体相比,印度尼西亚、中国和马来西亚的宗教和族裔少数群体往往在教育和生育两方面都投入更多。通过求解两个群体之间争夺博弈的纳什均衡,并将教育和生育设定为群体特有的行为规范,我们说明:只要人力资本是争夺行为的重要投入,就可以解释上述观察到的模式。

Abstract

Abstract Fertility becomes a strategic choice for minorities when having a larger share of the population helps to increase power. If parents invest resources to educate their children, then raising fertility for strategic reasons might be at the cost of future human capital. We dispel this view using census data from several developing countries. We show that religious and ethnic minorities in Indonesia, China, and Malaysia tend to invest more in both education and fertility compared to larger groups. Solving for the Nash equilibrium of an appropriation game between two groups with education and fertility being prescribed as group-specific behavioral norms, we offer a rationale for the observed patterns provided that human capital is an important input to appropriation.
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