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新俄罗斯经济史

New Russian Economic History
Journal of Economic Literature · 2024 · Ekaterina Zhuravskaya、Sergei Guriev、Andreĭ Markevich

中文摘要

本综述探讨了关于19世纪和20世纪俄罗斯经济史的不断增长的文献的最新进展。运用新数据与现代实证方法,该研究为发展与政治经济学提供了重要启示。我们探讨该文献的四个分支。首先,我们呈现经济发展的长期趋势,表明纵观历史,俄罗斯显著落后于发达经济体,并量化了约瑟夫·斯大林独裁统治的人力成本。其次,我们讨论关于帝俄时期的研究,聚焦于俄国经济发展水平相对较低的原因以及1917年革命。文献的第三个分支聚焦于苏联时期,解释其随时间的放缓与最终崩溃。第四个分支记录了帝俄与苏联时期发生的大规模历史实验的长期经济、社会与政治后果。最后,我们讨论该研究的启示并强调未决问题。

Abstract

This survey discusses recent developments in the growing literature on the economic history of Russia in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. Using novel data and modern empirical methods, this research provides important lessons for development and political economy. We address four strands of this literature. First, we present long-term trends in economic development, illustrating that throughout history, Russia significantly underperformed advanced economies, and quantify the human cost of Joseph Stalin’s dictatorship. Second, we discuss studies of imperial Russia focusing on the causes of Russia’s relatively low level of economic development and the 1917 revolution. The third strand of the literature focuses on the Soviet period, explaining its slowdown over time and eventual collapse. The fourth strand documents the long-term economic, social, and political consequences of large-scale historical experiments that took place during both the imperial and Soviet periods. We conclude by discussing the lessons from this research and highlighting open questions. (JEL N10, N30, N40, N60, P20, P30, Z13)
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