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全球化与劳动力市场动态

Globalization and Labor Market Dynamics
Annual Review of Economics · 2017 · John McLaren

中文摘要

长期以来,贸易研究领域通常忽视劳动者的动态调整,但近期涌现的一批研究已发展出一套丰富的理论与实证工具来分析这一因素。实证方法涵盖从简约式回归到对底层参数的结构估计,而理解福利效应需要进行结构估计。一个主要区别在于,模型是否允许劳动者之间存在不可观测异质性;这两类模型适用于不同目的。跨方法和跨国家的一致发现表明,转换部门和职业的成本很高,且转换成本和期权价值对于计算全球化对劳动者福利效应而言都至关重要。

Abstract

Historically, the trade research field has usually ignored dynamic adjustment of workers, but a recent wave of work has developed a rich set of theoretical and empirical tools to analyze this factor. Empirical approaches have ranged from reduced-form regressions to the structural estimation of underlying parameters, which is necessary to understand welfare effects. A major distinction is that between models that do and those that do not allow for unobserved heterogeneity across workers; these models are useful for different purposes. Consistent findings across methods and countries indicate that costs of switching sectors and occupations are high and that both switching costs and option value are crucial in computing the welfare effects of globalization for workers.
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