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非婚生育经济学与婚姻对子女的溢价

The Economics of Nonmarital Childbearing and the Marriage Premium for Children
Annual Review of Economics · 2017 · Melissa S. Kearney、Phillip B. Levine

中文摘要

关于家庭结构对子女结果影响的研究文献十分丰富,但通常聚焦于平均效应。在本综述中,我们在此基础上构建了一个经济学框架,该框架对已婚父母可能给子女带来的益处作出了异质性预测。我们提出,从子女的角度看,婚姻带来的收益取决于母亲自身的资源水平、其伴侣带来的额外净资源,以及不同结果对资源的特定回报率。收入动态追踪调查的面板数据与该框架的异质性预测相一致。就完成高中学业或在25岁时避免陷入贫困而言,所谓婚姻对子女的溢价在母亲具有高中学历以及母亲年龄处于20岁出头至25岁左右的子女中最高。对于完成大学学业或在25岁时获得高收入等更高层次的结果,婚姻溢价随观测到的母亲年龄和受教育程度单调递增。

Abstract

A large body of literature exists on the impact of family structure on children's outcomes, typically focusing on average effects. In this review, we build on this with an economic framework that has heterogeneous predictions regarding the potential benefit for children of married parents. We propose that the gains due to marriage from a child's perspective depend on a mother's own level of resources, the additional net resources that her partner brings, and the outcome-specific returns to resources. Data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics are consistent with the heterogeneous predictions of this framework. In terms of high school completion or avoiding poverty at age 25, the so-called marriage premium for children is highest for children of mothers with high school degrees and mothers in their early to mid-20s. For the more advanced outcomes of college completion or high income at age 25, the marriage premium monotonically increases with observed maternal age and education.
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