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企业工资动态理论

A Theory of Firm Wage Dynamics
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Marc de la Barrera、Masao Fukui

中文摘要

我们提出了一个企业工资动态理论,将Burdett和Mortensen(1998)的经典工资报价模型与企业动态相融合。在存在搜寻摩擦的情况下,企业在平等对待约束下提供动态工资合约。我们对均衡工资合约与企业增长进行了解析刻画,表明其仅作为边际剩余分布的函数。与近期经验证据一致,该模型意味着: 企业工资与企业增长密切相关,但与企业规模无关; 企业工资在企业生命周期内下降; 永久性生产率冲击向工资的传导在短期高于长期。处于职位阶梯顶端的企业面临过度的劳动力市场竞争,因此最优政策对其招聘进行补贴。在宏观层面,最优政策提升了稳态下的商业活力,在转移动态中更是如此。

Abstract

We develop a theory of firm wage dynamics that integrates the canonical wage-posting model à la Burdett and Mortensen (1998) with firm dynamics. Firms offer dynamic wage contracts under an equal-treatment constraint in the presence of search frictions. We provide an analytical characterization of equilibrium wage contracts and firm growth as functions only of the distribution of marginal surplus. Consistent with recent empirical evidence, the model implies that (i) firm wages are strongly linked to firm growth but not to firm size; (ii) firm wages decline over the firm life cycle; and (iii) the pass-through of permanent productivity shocks to wages is higher in the short run than in the long run. Firms at the top of the job ladder face excessive labor market competition, so the optimal policy subsidizes their hiring. At the macro level, the optimal policy elevates business dynamism in the steady state, and even more so along the transition.
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