← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

中国的“斯普特尼克时刻”?

Chinese Sputnik Moments?
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · Josh Lerner、Namrata Narain、Dimitris Papanikolaou、Amit Seru、Zunda Winston Xu

中文摘要

近几十年来,中国的技术进步既令人钦佩,也引发警惕,并在某些情况下受到质疑。为更好地理解中国的创新生态系统,我们编制了一个包含近1400万件中国国内专利文献的数据集,重点研究美国国防部认定的关键技术所对应的专利子集。数据呈现出若干令人意外的模式:中国的专利活动与其他创新进展衡量指标高度相关;专利并未集中于华为等企业巨头;高校在创新中发挥了关键作用,其作用远大于国有企业或政府所属机构;在中国关键技术专利中,拥有美国经历或受训背景的发明人占比不到十分之一。最后,我们使用四种基于文本的专利质量衡量指标表明,相对于美国授权专利,中国关键技术专利活动的增长并未伴随质量下降。

Abstract

China’s technological progress in recent decades has been viewed with admiration, alarm, and (in some cases) doubt. To better understand the Chinese innovation ecosystem, we compile a dataset of almost 14 million domestic Chinese patent publications. We focus on the subset of critical technologies identified by the U.S. Department of Defense. Several surprising patterns emerge from the data: Chinese patenting is strongly associated with other measures of innovative progress; patents are not concentrated in corporate giants such as Huawei; universities have played a key role in innovation, much greater than state-owned enterprises or government-owned facilities; and fewer than one in ten Chinese critical technology patents involves an inventor with U.S. experience or training. Finally, using four text-based measures of patent quality, we show that the rise of Chinese patenting in critical technologies has not been associated with a decline in quality relative to the U.S. awards.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →