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绿色转型的政治经济学

The Political Economics of Green Transitions
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2023 · Timothy Besley、Torsten Persson

中文摘要

若不进行绿色转型——即消费与生产模式的重大转变——减少温室气体排放或许几乎不可能实现。为研究此类转型,我们提出了一个动态模型,该模型在两个方面不同于经济学中的常见方法。第一,消费模式不仅反映价格和税收的变化,也反映价值观的变化。价值观与技术的转型会形成一种动态互补性,从而可能促进或阻碍绿色转型。第二,与虚构的社会规划者不同,民主社会中的政策制定者无法对未来的政策路径作出承诺,因为他们受制于定期选举。我们表明,市场失灵与政府失灵可能相互作用,使增进福利的绿色转型无法实现,或使正在进行的绿色转型过于缓慢。

Abstract

Abstract Reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases may be almost impossible without a green transition—a substantial transformation of consumption and production patterns. To study such transitions, we propose a dynamic model, which differs from the common approach in economics in two ways. First, consumption patterns reflect not just changing prices and taxes, but changing values. Transitions of values and technologies create a dynamic complementarity that can help or hinder a green transition. Second, and unlike fictitious social planners, policy makers in democratic societies cannot commit to future policy paths, as they are subject to regular elections. We show that market failures and government failures can interact to prevent a welfare-increasing green transition from materializing or make an ongoing green transition too slow.
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