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资本监管与影子金融:一项量化分析

Capital Regulation and Shadow Finance: A Quantitative Analysis
Review of Economic Studies · 2023 · Hyunju Lee、Sunyoung Lee、Radoslaw Paluszynski

中文摘要

本文研究提高银行资本要求的影响。利用韩国新的企业—贷款机构匹配信贷数据,我们发现,巴塞尔协议III的实施与受监管银行信贷下降25%同时发生,非银行(影子)贷款机构的信贷则以相近幅度增加。我们利用这些数据估计资本要求对银行信贷的影响,以及该改革对非银行贷款的溢出效应。随后,我们构建了一个包含异质性银行和企业的一般均衡模型,该模型能够复现这些微观估计结果。我们发现,巴塞尔协议III可以解释受监管银行贷款下降中的大部分,以及影子贷款增幅中约四分之三的部分。后者完全由该改革的一般均衡效应所驱动。

Abstract

Abstract This article studies the effects of higher bank capital requirements. Using new firm-lender matched credit data from South Korea, we document that Basel III coincided with a 25% decline in credit from regulated banks, and an increase of similar magnitude from non-bank (shadow) lenders. We use our data to estimate the effect of capital requirements on bank credit, and the spillover effect of the reform on non-bank lending. We then build a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous banks and firms that replicates these micro estimates. We find that Basel III can account for most of the observed decrease in regulated bank lending and about three quarters of the increase in shadow lending. The latter is driven exclusively by general equilibrium effects of the reform.
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