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无转移支付的多对一双边匹配中的识别与估计

Identification and Estimation in Many‐to‐One Two‐Sided Matching Without Transfers
Econometrica · 2024 · Yinghua He、Shruti Sinha、Xiaoting Sun

中文摘要

在效用不可转移的多对一双边匹配情境中,例如大学招生,我们研究了仅凭单一市场的数据即可识别双方偏好的条件。无论市场是集中式还是分散式,在假定所观察到的匹配是稳定匹配的前提下,我们证明,在特定排除性约束下,双方偏好均可获得非参数识别。为将这些结果应用于数据,我们使用蒙特卡洛模拟评估了不同的估计量,其中包括直接依据识别结果构造的估计量。我们发现,在现实规模的问题中,采用吉布斯抽样的参数贝叶斯方法表现良好。最后,我们以智利公立和私立学校的分散式招生为例说明该方法,并对一项平权行动政策进行了反事实分析。

Abstract

In a setting of many‐to‐one two‐sided matching with nontransferable utilities, for example, college admissions, we study conditions under which preferences of both sides are identified with data on one single market. Regardless of whether the market is centralized or decentralized, assuming that the observed matching is stable, we show nonparametric identification of preferences of both sides under certain exclusion restrictions. To take our results to the data, we use Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate different estimators, including the ones that are directly constructed from the identification. We find that a parametric Bayesian approach with a Gibbs sampler works well in realistically sized problems. Finally, we illustrate our methodology in decentralized admissions to public and private schools in Chile and conduct a counterfactual analysis of an affirmative action policy.
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