Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Yin Chu、J. Scott Holladay、Xian-Liang Tian
中文摘要
近期研究表明,政治层级内部个性化的互惠关系——通常被称为庇护关系或庇护人—依附者网络——可以促进地方经济增长。我们提供的证据表明,此类非正式关系还可能推动次要政策目标的实现:中国市级与省级领导人之间的关系有助于减少排放。为识别这些关系,我们采用一种基于既往提拔经历的方法,并利用市级和省级领导人的换届调整。我们以省级和市级官员的相对任期作为庇护关系的工具变量。我们的分析聚焦于中国“十一五”规划(2006—2010年);该规划向各省下达减排目标,但将执行工作交由地方官员负责。我们从企业和城市两个层面提供证据,表明在地方领导人与省级上级存在关系的城市,排放下降得更快。与不存在这种关系的城市相比,领导人存在关系的城市中的企业减排幅度约高10%。污染治理主要集中于外资企业和内资民营企业,其首要驱动因素是现有企业排放强度的下降。我们的发现表明,在追求次要政策目标时,通过庇护关系实现利益一致,有助于缓解政府层级之间的委托—代理问题。
Abstract
Recent research suggests that personalized, reciprocal ties within political hierarchies, often described as patronage connections or patron-client networks, can enhance local economic growth. We provide evidence that such informal ties may also facilitate progress on secondary policy objectives: connections between Chinese city and provincial leaders contribute to emissions reductions. To identify these connections, we employ a past-promotion-based method and leverage the reshuffling of both city and provincial leaders. We instrument for patronage using the relative tenure of provincial and city officials. Our analysis focuses on China’s Eleventh Five-Year Plan (2006–2010), which assigned emissions reductions targets to provinces but delegated enforcement to local officials. We present both firm-level and city-level evidence that emissions declined more rapidly in cities where the local leader was connected to the provincial superior. Firms in cities with connected leaders reduced emissions by approximately 10% more than those in unconnected cities. The cleanup is concentrated among foreign and domestically owned private firms and the primary driver is reduced emissions intensity at existing firms. Our findings suggest that alignment through patronage can help mitigate principal-agent problems across government hierarchies in the pursuit of secondary policy objectives.