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衡量最高收入群体收入份额时的企业收入核算:基于挪威个人与企业数据的综合权责发生制方法

Accounting for Business Income in Measuring Top Income Shares: Integrated Accrual Approach Using Individual and Firm Data from Norway
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2025 · Annette Alstadsæter、Martin Jacob、Wojciech Kopczuk、Kjetil Telle

中文摘要

利用挪威相互关联的个人与企业行政数据,我们穿透多层控股公司,在企业利润应计之时而非收入实现之时,将其归属于最终个人所有者。我们表明,基于权责发生制的收入不平等衡量方法改变了收入不平等的水平及其随时间变化的趋势,并消除了不平等和收入持续性衡量指标对税制改革后支付政策变化的敏感性。在2005年一项激励企业留存收益的税制改革之后,与普通的基于实现的收入衡量方法相比,最高0.1%人群的总收入份额在一些年份高出一倍以上。我们进一步利用丰富的数据表明:(1)采用基于权责发生制的个人收入衡量方法会降低估计的收入税收弹性;(2)个人纳税申报表中观察到的资本收入并不能很好地代表企业整体利润,因此文献中常用的基于已实现股息的估算方法表现不佳。我们讨论了这些发现对其他国家最高收入群体收入不平等衡量的启示。我们还记录了间接所有权作为本研究发现背后机制的重要性及其在其他发达国家的相关性,并讨论了其对资本收入和财富征税争论的启示。

Abstract

Abstract Using linked individual and firm administrative data from Norway, we look through layers of holding companies and attribute corporate profits to the ultimate personal owner as the profits accrue rather than when income is realized. We show that our accrual-based measure of income inequality changes the level and trend of income inequality over time and eliminates the sensitivity of measures of inequality and income persistence to changing payout policies in response to tax reforms. After a tax reform in 2005 that incentivized retention of earnings within businesses, the total income share of the top 0.1% more than doubled in some years, compared with ordinary realization-based income measures. We further utilize rich data to show that (1) using our accrual-based measure of personal income reduces the estimated tax elasticity of income, and (2) observed capital income in individuals’ tax returns does not proxy well for overall corporate profits, so that an imputation method based on realized dividends, which is commonly used in the literature, performs poorly. We discuss implications for top income inequality measures in other countries. We also document the importance of indirect ownership as a mechanism behind our findings and its relevance in other developed countries and discuss implications for debates on capital income and wealth taxation.
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