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货币政策、银行脆弱性与现代金融中介

Monetary Policy, Bank Fragility, and the Modern Financial Intermediation
Annual Review of Economics · 2026 · Gregor Matvos、Tomasz Piskorski、Amit Seru

中文摘要

本文综述了近期关于货币政策通过银行及更广泛的金融中介部门传导及其对金融稳定影响的研究。传统银行因高杠杆与期限转换而依然脆弱,使其易受利率、信贷和流动性冲击的影响。与此同时,非银行中介的兴起——现已参与大部分放贷——重塑了信贷的发起、融资与分配方式,使政策传导与监管复杂化。我们考察了货币政策通过银行和金融中介部门传导的六个关键调整边际的证据:资产负债表估值, 贷款留存, 证券持有, 影子银行放贷替代, 存款替代,以及 银行对非银行放贷。这些渠道通常在应对货币与资本冲击时重新配置信贷,而不仅仅是改变其总量水平,这凸显了需要一种系统全局视角,以反映现代金融中介的适应性与互联性本质。

Abstract

This article reviews recent research on monetary policy transmission through banks and the broader financial intermediation sector, and its implications for financial stability. Traditional banks remain fragile due to high leverage and maturity transformation, making them vulnerable to interest rate, credit, and liquidity shocks. Meanwhile, the rise of nonbank intermediation—now involved in most lending—has reshaped how credit is originated, funded, and distributed, complicating policy transmission and regulation. We examine evidence on six key adjustment margins of monetary policy transmission through banks and the financial intermediation sector: ( a ) balance sheet valuation, ( b ) loan retention, ( c ) securities holdings, ( d ) shadow bank lending substitution, ( e ) deposit substitution, and ( f ) bank-to-nonbank lending. These channels often reallocate credit in response to monetary and capital shocks rather than just altering its aggregate level, highlighting the need for a system-wide perspective that reflects the adaptive, interconnected nature of modern financial intermediation.
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