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恢复性司法会议能否降低累犯率?来自“纠正过错”(Make‐it‐Right)项目的证据

Can Restorative Justice Conferencing Reduce Recidivism? Evidence From the Make‐it‐Right Program
Econometrica · 2024 · Yotam Shem-Tov、Steven Raphael、Alissa Skog

中文摘要

本文研究了一项恢复性司法干预的效果,该干预面向143名年龄在13至17岁之间、面临中等严重程度重罪指控(如入室盗窃、袭击)的青少年。符合条件的青少年被随机分配参加“纠正过错”(MIR)恢复性司法项目,或进入面临标准刑事起诉的对照组。我们估计了MIR对青少年在随机分组后四年内再次被捕概率的影响。被分配至MIR使六个月内再次被捕的概率降低19个百分点,较对照组下降44%。此外,累犯率的降幅甚至在随机分组四年后仍然持续。因此,我们的估计结果表明,恢复性司法会议能够降低被控相对严重罪行的青少年的累犯率,并可成为传统刑事司法实践的有效替代方案。

Abstract

This paper studies the effect of a restorative justice intervention targeted at 143 youth ages 13 to 17 facing felony charges of medium severity (e.g., burglary, assault). Eligible youths were randomly assigned to participate in the Make‐it‐Right (MIR) restorative justice program or a control group where they faced standard criminal prosecution. We estimate the effects of MIR on the likelihood that a youth will be rearrested in the four years following randomization. Assignment to MIR reduces the probability of a rearrest within six months by 19 percentage points, a 44 percent reduction relative to the control group. Moreover, the reduction in recidivism persists even four years after randomization. Thus, our estimates show that restorative justice conferencing can reduce recidivism among youth charged with relatively serious offenses and can be an effective alternative to traditional criminal justice practices.
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