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遏制借故盘查:警务效率与种族差异

Curbing pretextual stops: Police efficiency and racial disparities
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · Louis‐Philippe Beland、Jason Huh、Dongwoo Kim、Kyutaro Matsuzawa

中文摘要

本文考察洛杉矶借故盘查的影响。借故盘查是指警察以轻微违法行为为由实施盘查,意在查获更严重的违法犯罪行为。我们研究洛杉矶警察局(LAPD)于2022年3月实施的一项限制借故盘查的特别命令所产生的效果。利用2018年至2022年洛杉矶警察局的大规模数据集和时间断点回归设计,我们发现该政策使针对轻微违法行为的盘查显著减少,且各种族群体的降幅相近。我们还发现,政策实施后911响应时间缩短,且以实施盘查为条件的逮捕率上升,这些效应集中在政策实施后的短期内。此外,针对轻微违法行为的盘查减少并未导致犯罪率上升。

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of pretextual stops in the context of Los Angeles. Pretextual stops occur when police officers use minor violations as a reason for stops, aiming to uncover more serious offenses. We investigate the effect of a special order implemented in March 2022 by the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) that restricted pretextual stops. Using an extensive LAPD dataset from 2018 to 2022 and a regression discontinuity in time design, we find that the policy led to a significant reduction in minor violation stops, with similar reductions across all racial groups. We also find faster 911 response times and higher arrest rates conditional on a stop following the policy, concentrated in the immediate post-policy period. Moreover, the decrease in minor violation stops did not lead to increases in crime rates.
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