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微观风险与(稳健的)帕累托改进政策

Micro Risks and (Robust) Pareto-Improving Policies
American Economic Review · 2024 · Mark Aguiar、Manuel Amador、Cristina Arellano

中文摘要

在市场不完全且利率低于经济增长率的情况下,我们给出了稳健帕累托改进(RPI)政策可行的条件。我们允许偏好和收入风险存在任意异质性,并允许资本回报率与债券收益率之间存在楔子。RPI能够改善风险分担,并可促使资本达到更有效率的水平。总储蓄对利率变化的弹性是决定RPI可行性的关键因素。在RPI中,政府债务可能与资本形成互补关系,而非替代关系。我们的分析强调了政府债券相较于显性再分配所具有的福利改善特性。(JEL D52、E43、E62、H20、H63)

Abstract

We provide conditions for the feasibility of robust Pareto-improving (RPI) policies when markets are incomplete and the interest rate is below the growth rate. We allow for arbitrary heterogeneity in preferences and income risk and a wedge between the return to capital and bonds. An RPI improves risk sharing and can induce a more efficient level of capital. Elasticities of aggregate savings to changes in interest rates are the crucial ingredients to the feasibility of RPIs. Government debt may complement rather than substitute for capital in an RPI. Our analysis emphasizes the welfare-improving qualities of government bonds versus explicit redistribution. (JEL D52, E43, E62, H20, H63)
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