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均衡分选下城市交通政策的效率与公平影响

Efficiency and Equity Impacts of Urban Transportation Policies with Equilibrium Sorting
American Economic Review · 2024 · Panle Jia Barwick、Shanjun Li、Andrew Waxman、Jing Wu、Tianli Xia

中文摘要

我们估计了一个包含内生交通拥堵的住房区位与通勤方式选择均衡分选模型,以评估城市交通政策。利用来自出行日记和住房交易的精细尺度数据识别居民的居住地和工作地,我们揭示了出行方式与居住区位决策中丰富的偏好异质性。尽管不同政策实现了相同程度的拥堵缓解,但其对社会福利的影响却存在巨大差异。此外,分选会削弱限制驾车和地铁扩建所带来的拥堵缓解效果,却会增强拥堵收费的缓解效果。拥堵收费与地铁扩建相结合,能够带来最大程度的拥堵缓解和效率提升。(JEL H76、O18、P25、R23、R31、R41、R48)

Abstract

We estimate an equilibrium sorting model of housing location and commuting mode choice with endogenous traffic congestion to evaluate urban transportation policies. Leveraging fine-scale data from travel diaries and housing transactions identifying residents' home and work locations, we recover rich preference heterogeneity over both travel mode and residential location decisions. While different policies produce the same congestion reduction, their impacts on social welfare differ drastically. In addition, sorting undermines the congestion reduction under driving restrictions and subway expansion but strengthens it under congestion pricing. The combination of congestion pricing and subway expansion delivers the greatest congestion relief and efficiency gains. (JEL H76, O18, P25, R23, R31, R41, R48)
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