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教育中的地位外部性与韩国的低生育率

Status Externalities in Education and Low Birth Rates in Korea
American Economic Review · 2024 · Seongeun Kim、Michèle Tertilt、Minchul Yum

中文摘要

韩国人似乎十分关注子女的教育,同时韩国的总和生育率也是全球最低。受有关私人教育溢出效应的新实证证据启发,我们提出了一种包含地位外部性和内生生育选择的新理论,将这些事实联系起来。通过使用一个根据韩国数据校准的定量模型,我们发现,如果不存在这种外部性,生育率将高出28%。我们考察了政府政策的效果:鼓励生育的转移支付或教育税可以提高生育率并减少教育支出。征收22%的教育税并辅以适度的鼓励生育转移支付,可使当代人的福利最大化。(JEL D31、D62、E24、I21、I26、I28、J13、O40)

Abstract

South Koreans appear to be preoccupied with their offspring's education and also have the lowest total fertility rate in the world. We propose a novel theory with status externalities and endogenous fertility connecting these facts, motivated by novel empirical evidence on private education spillovers. Using a quantitative model calibrated to Korea, we find that fertility would be 28 percent higher without the externality. We explore the effects of government policy: a pro-natal transfer or an education tax can increase fertility and reduce education spending. An education tax of 22 percent together with moderate pro-natal transfers maximizes the current generation's welfare. (JEL D31, D62, E24, I21, I26, I28, J13, O40)
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