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债务厌恶的机会成本

The Opportunity Cost of Debt Aversion
American Economic Review · 2024 · Alejandro Martínez-Marquina、Mike Shi

中文摘要

我们提供了债务厌恶存在及其对财务决策负面影响的证据。在一项受试者被随机分配债务的新实验设计中,我们量化了受试者债务偏向决策的机会成本。三分之一的参与者忽视了高回报,转而关注债务偿还。此外,当借款会导致负债时,为投资而借款的可能性降低了50%。平均而言,参与者认为减少1美元的债务等价于增加1.03美元的储蓄。因此,一个债务厌恶型主体只有当借款成本不超过6.80%时,才会进行一项10%的保证投资。

Abstract

We provide evidence of the existence of debt aversion and its negative implications for financial decisions. In a new experimental design where subjects are assigned debt randomly, we quantify the opportunity cost of subjects’ debt-biased decisions. One-third of our participants neglect high returns and focus instead on debt repayments. In addition, borrowing to invest is 50 percent less likely when it leads to indebtedness. On average, participants perceive $1 less in debt as equivalent to $1.03 in savings. Hence, a debt-averse agent will undertake a 10 percent guaranteed investment only if the cost of borrowing does not exceed 6.80 percent. (JEL C91, D91, G51)
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