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大G

Big G
Journal of Political Economy · 2024 · Lydia Cox、Gernot J. Müller、Ernesto Pastén、Raphael Schoenle、Michael Weber

中文摘要

“大G”通常指政府对同质商品的总支出。我们利用联邦采购全部数据所呈现的五个事实,对这一概念进行检验。第一,联邦采购具有波动性,并且构成总支出短期变动的最大部分。第二,其变动来源具有颗粒性。第三,政府采购须经过采购程序和招标。第四,政府采购集中于长期合同。第五,其构成偏向私人部门价格具有黏性的行业。我们构建了一个与这些事实相一致的两部门新凯恩斯模型,并发现政府将支出投向何处是决定其总量效应的关键。

Abstract

“Big G” typically refers to aggregate government spending on a homogeneous good. We confront this notion with five facts for the universe of federal purchases. First, they are volatile and account for the largest part of the short-run variation in total spending. Second, the origin of their variation is granular. Third, purchases are subject to procurement and bidding. Fourth, they are concentrated in long-term contracts. Fifth, their composition is biased toward sectors in which private sector prices are sticky. We develop a two-sector New Keynesian model consistent with these facts and find where the government spends is key for aggregate effects.
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