← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

策略性疏忽、通胀动态与货币非中性

Strategic Inattention, Inflation Dynamics, and the Nonneutrality of Money
Journal of Political Economy · 2024 · Hassan Afrouzi

中文摘要

本文在一个包含理性疏忽与寡头竞争的新动态一般均衡模型中,研究了竞争如何影响企业预期,其中企业获取有关其竞争者信念的信息。在模型中,竞争者较少的企业对总量变量的关注较少——这一新颖预测得到了调查证据的支持。模型的校准版本匹配了企业竞争者数量与其对总量通胀的不确定性之间的关系,作为一个非目标矩。定量分析表明,企业对总量变量的策略性疏忽显著放大了货币非中性,并通过扭曲相对价格使得产出反应不成比例地转向竞争较弱的寡头。

Abstract

This paper studies how competition affects firms’ expectations in a new dynamic general equilibrium model with rational inattention and oligopolistic competition where firms acquire information about their competitors’ beliefs. In the model, firms with fewer competitors are less attentive to aggregate variables—a novel prediction supported by survey evidence. A calibrated version of the model matches the relationship between firms’ numbers of competitors and their uncertainty about aggregate inflation as a nontargeted moment. A quantitative exercise reveals that firms’ strategic inattention to aggregates significantly amplifies monetary nonneutrality and shifts output response disproportionately toward less competitive oligopolies by distorting relative prices.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →