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老年人是否意识到自身的认知衰退?错误感知与财务决策

Are Older People Aware of Their Cognitive Decline? Misperception and Financial Decision-Making
Journal of Political Economy · 2024 · Fabrizio Mazzonna、Franco Peracchi

中文摘要

我们考察老年人是否正确感知到自身的认知衰退,以及错误感知可能带来的财务后果。首先,我们表明老年人倾向于低估自己的认知衰退。随后我们表明,那些经历严重衰退却对此毫无察觉的人更可能遭受财富损失。这些损失在很大程度上反映了金融财富的减少,且主要发生在那些此前活跃于股票市场的较富裕人群身上。我们的发现支持这样一种观点:对自身认知衰退毫无察觉的老年人所遭受的财务损失,是不良财务决策的结果,而非理性减持策略的结果。

Abstract

We investigate whether older people correctly perceive their cognitive decline and the potential financial consequences of misperception. First, we show that older people tend to underestimate their cognitive decline. We then show that those experiencing a severe decline but unaware of it are more likely to suffer wealth losses. These losses largely reflect decreases in financial wealth and are mainly experienced by wealthier people who were previously active on the stock market. Our findings support the view that financial losses among older people unaware of their cognitive decline are the result of bad financial decisions, not of rational disinvestment strategies.
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