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住房供给的微观地理学

The Microgeography of Housing Supply
Journal of Political Economy · 2023 · Nathaniel Brandt Baum-Snow、Lu Han

中文摘要

我们对住房供给进行了全面的社区层面分析。基于我们的估计,美国所有城市社区的建筑面积供给弹性和住房单元供给弹性的预测值平均分别为0.5和0.3,且都市区内部的差异大于都市区之间的差异。新建住房约占住房单元供给响应的50%,拆除重建和翻修也发挥着重要的补充作用。供给响应随距中央商务区距离的增加而增强,这主要源于未开发土地可得性的增加、地形更平坦以及监管程度的降低。识别策略来自通勤目的地所受劳动需求冲击的变异,我们依据一个定量空间均衡模型提供的洞见对这些冲击进行加总。

Abstract

We perform a comprehensive neighborhood-level analysis of housing supply. Predictions of floor space and housing unit supply elasticities using our estimates average 0.5 and 0.3 across all urban neighborhoods in the United States, exhibiting greater variation within than between metro regions. New construction accounts for about 50% of unit supply responses, with important additional roles for teardowns and renovations. Supply responses grow with central business district distance mostly from the increasing availability of undeveloped land, flatter land, and less regulation. Identification comes from variation in labor demand shocks to commuting destinations, as aggregated using insights from a quantitative spatial equilibrium model.
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