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包含人力资本、劳动供给与退休的生命周期模型估计

Estimation of a Life-Cycle Model with Human Capital, Labor Supply, and Retirement
Journal of Political Economy · 2023 · Xiaodong Fan、Ananth Seshadri、Christopher Taber

中文摘要

我们估计了一个涵盖消费、人力资本投资和劳动供给的生命周期模型。其中最具新意的是生命周期末期人力资本与劳动供给之间的相互作用。估计结果再现了数据的主要特征,尤其是生命周期初期工资大幅上升而劳动供给小幅增加,以及生命周期末期工资小幅下降而劳动供给大幅减少。我们表明,在分析社会保障制度变革时,纳入人力资本至关重要。

Abstract

We estimate a life-cycle model of consumption, human capital investment, and labor supply. The interaction between human capital and labor supply toward the end of the life cycle is most novel. The estimates replicate the main features of the data, in particular the large increase in wages and small increase in labor supply at the beginning of the life cycle and the small decrease in wages but large decrease in labor supply toward the end. We show that incorporating human capital is critical when analyzing changes to Social Security.
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