Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Anne Burton、David N. Wasser
中文摘要
“禁止询问犯罪记录”（BTB）政策旨在通过推迟雇主询问犯罪记录的时间，帮助曾被监禁者找到工作。我们重新审视Doleac和Hansen（2020）关于BTB导致针对少数族裔男性的统计性歧视这一发现。我们纠正了编码错误的BTB法律，结果显示，基于当前人口调查（CPS）的估计在数量上仍然相近，而基于美国社区调查（ACS）的估计现在无法拒绝BTB对就业无影响的原假设。与已发表的估计结果不同，这些ACS结果与CPS结果之间的差异在统计上显著，表明结果在不同数据集间缺乏稳健性。我们未发现证据表明这些差异源于样本构成或调查权重。仅有有限证据表明，这些相异结果可由两项调查不同的调查频率来解释。样本量的差异也可能导致不同的估计结果；ACS的样本量大得多，因而在检测接近修正后CPS估计值的效应时具有更高的统计功效。
Abstract
Ban-the-Box (BTB) policies intend to help formerly incarcerated individuals find employment by delaying when employers can ask about criminal records. We revisit the finding in Doleac and Hansen (2020) that BTB causes statistical discrimination against minority men. We correct miscoded BTB laws and show that estimates from the Current Population Survey (CPS) remain quantitatively similar, while those from the American Community Survey (ACS) now fail to reject the null hypothesis of no effect of BTB on employment. In contrast to the published estimates, these ACS results are statistically significantly different from the CPS results, indicating a lack of robustness across datasets. We do not find evidence that these differences are due to sample composition or survey weights. There is limited evidence that these divergent results are explained by the different frequencies of these surveys. Differences in sample sizes may also lead to different estimates; the ACS has a much larger sample and more statistical power to detect effects near the corrected CPS estimates.