对农业家庭现金转移支付的动态效应
The Dynamic Effects of Cash Transfers to Agricultural Households
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2024 · [{"name": "Shilpa Aggarwal", "affiliation": ["Tufts University", "Indian School of Business", "National Bureau of Economic Research", "World Bank", "University of California, Santa Cruz", "University of Washington"]}, {"name": "Jenny C. Aker", "affiliation": ["Tufts University", "Indian School of Business", "National Bureau of Economic Research", "World Bank", "University of California, Santa Cruz", "University of Washington"]}, {"name": "Dahyeon Jeong", "affiliation": ["Tufts University", "Indian School of Business", "National Bureau of Economic Research", "World Bank", "University of California, Santa Cruz", "University of Washington"]}, {"name": "Naresh Kumar", "affiliation": ["Tufts University", "Indian School of Business", "National Bureau of Economic Research", "World Bank", "University of California, Santa Cruz", "University of Washington"]}, {"name": "David Sungho Park", "affiliation": ["Tufts University", "Indian School of Business", "National Bureau of Economic Research", "World Bank", "University of California, Santa Cruz", "University of Washington"]}, {"name": "Jonathan Robinson", "affiliation": ["Tufts University", "Indian School of Business", "National Bureau of Economic Research", "World Bank", "University of California, Santa Cruz", "University of Washington"]}, {"name": "Alan Spearot", "affiliation": ["Tufts University", "Indian School of Business", "National Bureau of Economic Research", "World Bank", "University of California, Santa Cruz", "University of Washington"]}]
中文摘要
关于一次性现金转移支付效应的演化与持续性，人们所知甚少，尤其是在生产性投资机会有限的农村农业环境中。我们利用双月电话调查，估计利比里亚和马拉维现金转移支付受助者所受的动态影响。我们发现，粮食安全随即改善，此后随时间推移而减弱，但即使在 1.5 至 2 年后也并未完全消散，这一效应由农场投资和生产的增加所驱动。我们还发现农场利润增加、临时性非农劳动减少、心理健康状况改善，并且在利比里亚，亲密伴侣暴力（IPV）有所减少。（JEL I31, I32, J43, O12, O13, Q12）
Abstract
Little is known about the evolution and persistence of the effects of one-time cash transfers, especially in rural agricultural settings with limited productive investment opportunities. We use bimonthly phone surveys to estimate dynamic impacts for cash transfer recipients in Liberia and Malawi. We find immediate increases in food security that attenuate over time but do not entirely dissipate even 1.5–2 years later, driven by increased farm investments and production. We find increases in farm profits, reductions in casual off-farm labor, improvements in psychological well-being, and, in Liberia, a reduction in intimate partner violence (IPV). (JEL I31, I32, J43, O12, O13, Q12)